The change of ethylene market competition

Website： cn.jscztyhg.com   Release Time: 2014-12-18

1) the future of ethylene production will continue to scale, intensive and refinery integration development
New ethylene facilities will be dominated by the million tons, the device will continue to expand the scale. For example, plans to put into operation before 2014 World new ethylene plant project, Qatar Petroleum / the size of the new size of the new ethylene plant ethylene plant is 1600000 tons, Exxon Mobil India isa Gujarat petrochemicals and Venezuela's Polimerica are 1300000 tons. The average size of world ethylene also increased year by year, the average size of Saudi Arabia's ethylene plant has reached 910000 tons; the average size of Singapore's ethylene plant is 770000 tons; the average size of North America for 650000 tons of ethylene plant. In particular, the oil industry on the middle and lower reaches of the industrial chain has will improve the Middle East national resources, further the development of petrochemical industry as an important development strategy, the use of the cheap natural gas resources advantage, the joint venture in its domestic and multinational companies on-site construction and abroad and market prospect of China joint venture the construction of large-scale refinery integration project.
In China with the Daqing petrochemical, Fushun petrochemical, Wuhan Petrochemical Ethylene and Sichuan and a number of new construction and renovation and expansion of the ethylene project put into operation, the average size of ethylene device is further improved, reaching 640000 tons, than last year increase of 80000 tons, higher than the world average of 520000 tons scale. At present, the domestic ethylene industry basic Delta, Bohai sea and the Pearl River Delta three ethylene industry gathering area, ethylene production capacity accounted for the total domestic production of 26%, 29% and 13%.
(2) USA ethylene industry will win back the edge of competition
In recent years, because of American shale gas vigorously development, make the United States manufacturers reduce ethylene naphtha and choose a more cheap shale gas as a raw material of ethylene, because the cost of raw material is only 30% ~ 40% of naphtha. U.S. natural gas prices have continued to run low, making cheap ethane yield substantial growth, the growth rate slightly faster than the output of ethylene, the region's natural gas prices will continue to lower the price of crude oil (in the same units of energy basis), American suppliers will maximize the production of natural gas condensate, ethylene unit thus to natural gas by-products as raw material the faster development. U.S. natural gas prices than Eurasian is low, and the ethylene industry and downstream production of high-end products have technological advantages, the production cost of ethylene and its downstream products will be the United States than in the past will be a larger decrease, and win back the edge of competition.
(3) the structure of ethylene cracking materials will continue to develop in the direction of light
From the natural gas liquids in different regions of the world in the ethylene raw material in the proportion, the highest is 84.3%, North America, Middle East areas 77%, Western Europe and the Asia Pacific region are respectively 36.3% and 32.6%. From naphtha which occupies in the ethylene raw materials in proportion, Asia and Western Europe were as high as 60.1% and 59.7%, the area of North America is only 6.7%. It is expected that in 2020 the global ethylene production will be increased by 52000000 tons, of which, the use amount of ethane, LPG and liquid material will respectively increase 44%, 14% and 41%. The world ethylene cracking feedstock, with an average annual growth rate of oxide dosage rate is 2.3%, the average annual growth rate of LPG is 0.2%, naphtha demand will decline at an annual rate of 2.3%.
(4) domestic ethylene production and ethylene production capacity of domestic technology layout of globalization increasingly high degree of
Ethylene production technology in our country continuously upgrade and improve, has been the realization of domestic large scale cracking furnace, cracking gas compressor of key equipment of machine etc.. Daqing Petrochemical 1200000 tons of ethylene expansion project technology package with completely independent intellectual property rights, to achieve complete localization. Fushun petrochemical ethylene construction, domestic equipment reached 72%, implementation of key equipment of ethylene compressor unit localization, make our country become one of the world's few mastered this technology country. Our country with the coal and other non petroleum based raw materials for ethylene technology has made breakthrough progress, Shenhua Baotou coal chemical industry demonstration project has been put into operation more than.